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📊 Methodically Capture and Convert Forecast Values into Actuals

This article explains how to use forecast values as a methodological tool in KPI management, how to capture them correctly, and how to systematically convert them into actual values. The goal is structured KPI control with a forward-looking character – aligned with Lean Management and digital shopfloor control principles.

🔍 Contents

  • What Are Forecast Values in KPIs?
  • Why Use Forecasts Systematically?
  • How to Capture and Convert Forecasts
  • Visualization in the KPI Dashboard
  • Tips for Methodical Application
  • FAQ

📊 What Are Forecast Values in KPIs?

Forecast values are predicted target figures for a future period. They allow a reliable assessment of whether a target is likely to be achieved – even before the period occurs – enabling proactive control.

✨ Tip: Forecasts are not replacements for planning. They are operational projections based on current insights (e.g., extrapolation from actuals, trends, benchmarks).


🌟 Why Use Forecasts Systematically?

  • Early warning system – Detect problems before the end of a period

  • Foster accountability – Teams reflect on target achievement in advance

  • Increase process maturity – Mature organizations steer proactively, not reactively

  • Create transparency – Forecasts show what to expect, not just what has happened

📸 Screenshot: KPI with forecast section (dashed bars)


🛠️ How to Capture and Convert Forecasts

1. Capture Forecast

  • In the KPI entry dialog, forecast values can be entered for future periods
    📸 Screenshot: Forecast value entered in the editing view

ℹ️ Note: Forecasts are only available for future calendar periods.


2. Visual Indicators in the Edit Dialog

  • Yellow – Forecast can now be converted

  • Blue – Forecast is still in the future and not yet convertible


3. Conversion Prompt During Save

When saving, the system automatically checks:

“Forecast value can be converted – do you want to adopt it as an actual value?”

Options:

  • ✅ Yes, adopt → Forecast becomes actual

  • ❌ No, just save → Forecast remains unchanged
    📸 Screenshot: Forecast conversion dialog

⚠️ Warning: Once converted, the forecast becomes a binding actual value – this action should be taken consciously.


📊 Visualization in the KPI Dashboard

In the dashboard, forecast values are displayed using distinct bar formats (e.g., dashed, lighter, transparent). This allows immediate visual differentiation between forecast and actual values.

✨ Tip: Use forecasts especially for KPIs with high control relevance – e.g., reject rate, production volume, delivery performance.


✨ Tips for Methodical Application

  • Introduce forecast check-ins in team routines (e.g., Shopfloor Meetings every Wednesday for the current week)

  • Regularly evaluate forecast accuracy: How reliable were our projections?

  • Document forecast changes for later analysis of planning uncertainty

  • Use forecasts as a trigger for action: “We already see that the goal is at risk – what are we doing about it?”


❓ FAQ

How do plan and forecast differ?
The plan is a fixed, typically annual, target. The forecast is dynamic and can be updated regularly.

What happens if I don’t convert a forecast?
It remains in place and appears as a forecast in the dashboard – not as an actual.

Is there a history of converted forecasts?
Currently (as of 2025), only the current value is stored. Forecast changes should be documented separately.