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📊 Methodically Capture and Convert Forecast Values into Actuals

This article explains how to use forecast values as a methodological tool in KPI management, how to capture them correctly, and how to systematically convert them into actual values. The goal is structured KPI control with a forward-looking character – aligned with Lean Management and digital shopfloor control principles.

🔍 Contents

  • What Are Forecast Values in KPIs?
  • Why Use Forecasts Systematically?
  • How to Capture and Convert Forecasts
  • Visualization in the KPI Dashboard
  • Tips for Methodical Application
  • FAQ

📊 What Are Forecast Values in KPIs?

Forecast values are predicted target figures for a future period. They allow a reliable assessment of whether a target is likely to be achieved – even before the period occurs – enabling proactive control.

Tip: Forecasts are not replacements for planning. They are operational projections based on current insights (e.g., extrapolation from actuals, trends, benchmarks).


🌟 Why Use Forecasts Systematically?

  • Early warning system – Detect problems before the end of a period

  • Foster accountability – Teams reflect on target achievement in advance

  • Increase process maturity – Mature organizations steer proactively, not reactively

  • Create transparency – Forecasts show what to expect, not just what has happened

📸 Screenshot: KPI with forecast section (dashed bars)


🛠️ How to Capture and Convert Forecasts

1. Capture Forecast

  • In the KPI entry dialog, forecast values can be entered for future periods
    📸 Screenshot: Forecast value entered in the editing view

ℹ️ Note: Forecasts are only available for future calendar periods.


2. Visual Indicators in the Edit Dialog

  • Yellow – Forecast can now be converted

  • Blue – Forecast is still in the future and not yet convertible


3. Conversion Prompt During Save

When saving, the system automatically checks:

“Forecast value can be converted – do you want to adopt it as an actual value?”

Options:

  • Yes, adopt → Forecast becomes actual

  • No, just save → Forecast remains unchanged
    📸 Screenshot: Forecast conversion dialog

⚠️ Warning: Once converted, the forecast becomes a binding actual value – this action should be taken consciously.


📊 Visualization in the KPI Dashboard

In the dashboard, forecast values are displayed using distinct bar formats (e.g., dashed, lighter, transparent). This allows immediate visual differentiation between forecast and actual values.

Tip: Use forecasts especially for KPIs with high control relevance – e.g., reject rate, production volume, delivery performance.


✨ Tips for Methodical Application

  • Introduce forecast check-ins in team routines (e.g., Shopfloor Meetings every Wednesday for the current week)

  • Regularly evaluate forecast accuracy: How reliable were our projections?

  • Document forecast changes for later analysis of planning uncertainty

  • Use forecasts as a trigger for action: “We already see that the goal is at risk – what are we doing about it?”


❓ FAQ

How do plan and forecast differ?
The plan is a fixed, typically annual, target. The forecast is dynamic and can be updated regularly.

What happens if I don’t convert a forecast?
It remains in place and appears as a forecast in the dashboard – not as an actual.

Is there a history of converted forecasts?
Currently (as of 2025), only the current value is stored. Forecast changes should be documented separately.